Igiciro co kubika bateri kuri kWh 2026: Ipaki n'Ishizwemwo

Umuntu wese akora ingengo y’imari y’uburyo bwo kubika inguvu za bateri (BESS) atangura n’ikibazo kimwe: ububiko bugura iki ku kilowatt-isaha? Igitigiri kiroroshe kuronka kandi kiroroshe gusoma nabi. Igiciro c’amadolari 110/kWh n’igiciro c’amadolari 228/kWh birashobora gusobanura umugambi umwe - kimwe ni ibikoresho biva mw’ihinguriro, ikindi ni ico nyen’uruganda ariha mu vy’ukuri ku kilowatt{5}}isaha y’inguvu iyo sisitemu izotanga.

Iyi nkuru itanga ibipimo vyasohowe ubu ku rwego rw’igiciro cose, ikabigabanya hakurikijwe akarere n’igihe, hanyuma yerekana ingene wohuza igiciro c’umuguzi n’umubare ushobora gushiramwo mu citegererezo c’ivy’amahera. Yandikiwe abaterambere, abakozi ba EPC n’abaguzi b’inganda; igice c’uburaro kigufi cane kirashirwamwo kandi kigatandukanywa neza.

Igiciro co kubika bateri kuri kWh muri 2026

Nta giciro kimwe kw'isi yose, kandi itandukaniro hagati y'ibipimo si ukutumvikana - ni urugero. Aha hepfo hariho ingingo z’ishingiro zasohowe vuba cane, imwe yose ikaba ifise urubibi ipima mu vy’ukuri.

• Gugura DC block canke bateri iri mu bikoresho gusa:nanga ku bushakashatsi bw’urufunguzo rwo gukuraho ibirimwo PCS na EMS, kandi witege ko igiharuro cashikirijwe kizokwicara hejuru cane y’ikigereranyo c’amapaki igihe ibicuruzwa n’ibikorwa vyongeweko.
• Gugura AC-injijwe canke urufunguzo:koresha $73–$219/kWh y'akarere iri musi, hanyuma wemeze ico umuguzi ashaka kuvuga mu "gufungura."
• Gusuzuma vyose-mugiciro ca nyen'umuhinguzi nk'umuhinguzi:gutangura ku madolari 125/kWh mu masoko y’amafaranga make, afise amahiganwa kandi ufate amadolari 200–350/kWh nk’umurongo w’ukuri muri Amerika no mu mirongo y’uguhuza ikomeye cane mu Buraya.

Akamenyero kamwe gahambaye kuruta ayandi yose: igiciro co kubika cizewe cama kivuga umwaka, akarere, ubunini bwa sisitemu, igihe, ubushobozi (izina canke bukoreshwa, AC canke DC) n’uburebure bushizwemwo. Igiciro kitagira izo kamere zitandatu nta kintu na kimwe kigereranywa.

Uburyo n'uburebure bw'amakuru

• Ubushakashatsi bwacitse-:Kanama 2026. Ivyiyumviro vy’ubushakashatsi vyo mu 2026 vyakozwe na BloombergNEF ntivyari vyasohowe kuri iyo tariki, rero imibare iherutse gukorwa ni iyo mu mwaka w’ikirangamisi 2025.
• Ifaranga:Amadolari y’Amerika, y’izina. BloombergNEF itunganya urutonde rwayo rw’amateka kubera ugutera imbere kw’ibiciro; nta yindi mpinduka twashizeho.
• Imisoro n'ibikorwa:ibipimo vyasohowe muri rusangi bivugwa imbere y’ibikorwa vyo kwinjiza ibintu mu gihugu, IVA n’ikori ry’ugurisha kiretse iyo inkomoko ivuze ukundi.
• Ishingiro ry'ubushobozi:ibipimo vy’ubushakashatsi bivugwa cane cane ku kWh y’izina ku ruhande rwa DC. Aho iyi nkuru ikoresha inguvu za AC zikoreshwa, irabivuga mu buryo butomoye.
• Imibare y'akaroreromu karorero kakozwe aha hepfo ni ingero, zubatswe ku bice vy'umurongo bisanzwe, kandi zishizweko ikimenyetso nk'ico. Si igisubizo c’ubushakashatsi kandi si igisubizo.

Ni igiki kiri mu giciro co kubika amabateri ku kWh?

Ivyumba bitandatu vy’igiciro ni vyo bikoreshwa cane. Intambara nyinshi z’ibiciro ziva ku mipaka ibiri: aho DC block ihera n’aho AC system itangura, n’aho amasezerano ya EPC ahera n’aho nyir’ivyo bikoresho bitangura.

Uwo murongo wa nyuma urahambaye kuruta uko usa. "Vyose-mu giciro ca nyiravyo" akenshi bikoreshwa mu buryo butari bwo kugira ngo bisobanure vyose umugambi uzokwigera ukoresha. Muyigumye gushika ku rugero rwo gukoresha mu vy’ubudandaji. Iyo umaze gupfuka imyaka cumi n'itanu yo gusanasana, kwongerera no gusubirira, ntuba ugisobanura capex - ukeneye igipimo c'igabanya n'igihe, ivyo ni vyo igiciro c'ububiko kiringaniye kiriho kugira ngo kiguhe.

Ibintu bitatu vyo ku murongo bikunda kubura cane mu gusubiramwo ibikoresho

Mu masoko yose y’amarushanwa, ivyo bintu bitatu nyene ni vyo bituma habaho itandukaniro hagati y’igiciro c’ibikoresho n’umubare ushika mu ngengo y’imari:

1. Igihindura umuriro uri hagati-n'umuriro mwinshi -.Abaguzi bavuga "uburyo bwa AC" kenshi bahagarara ku ruhande rw'umuriro muto-wa PCS. Intambwe-up transformateur, MV switchgear n'uburinzi rero ni urugero rw'uwundi muntu.
2. Ibikorwa vyo kwinjiza hanze, gucungera ibicuruzwa muri duwane n'ugutwara abantu mu gihugu.Ex-ibiciro vy'ibikorwa ni ibisanzwe ku bikoresho vy'abashinwa. Mu masoko afise ibiciro canke amategeko y’ibirimwo yo mu karere-, uwo murongo wonyene urashobora gutuma igiharuro cashikirijwe kigenda n’amadolari mirongo ku kWh.
3. Ibikorwa vy’ibarabara n’ububasha bwo gufasha.HVAC, guzimya umuriro, gucungera n’ugutanga umuco birakeneye ivyo bifise n’ivyo bipima. Ni amahera makeyi aboneka mu buryo bwizigirwa akerewe, kandi gukoresha ayo na vyo nyene biragabanya inguvu igiterwa gishobora gutanga mu vy’ukuri.

Ibindi bintu bibiri bikwiye kwitwa muri RFQ: uguzimya umuriro kwavuguruwe ku kode y'aho hantu aho kugereranywa n'umuguzi, n'ibice vy'inyuma- vya mbere. Ivyiyumviro vyinshi vyerekeye aho amahera yicara imbere muri sisitemu biravugwa mu gitabu cacu .Isesengura ry'imiterere y'igiciro ca BESS.

Igiciro co kubika bateri kuri kWh hakurikijwe akarere

Akarere ni co gihinduka kinini kuruta ibindi vyose mu gushinga igiciro c'ibikoresho - kinini kuruta ubuhinga bwa shimi, kinini kuruta urugero rw'abaguzi. Itohoza ry’igiciro c’ubuhinga bwa BloombergNEF mu 2025, ryubatswe ku migambi 596 yashikirijwe, ryashize ubuhinga bwo gukoresha urufunguzo kw’isi yose ku madolari 117/kWh, n’ugukwiragira kw’ibice nka bitatu kuri kimwe hagati y’amasoko akomeye atari menshi n’azimvye cane.

Ku rugero rw’amapaki, ni ko biri: Ubushinwa bwaronse amadolari 84/kWh mu bice vyose vy’amabateri mu 2025, Amerika ya ruguru ikaba yari hejuru n’ibice 44%, Uburayi na bwo bukaba bwari hejuru n’ibice 56%, nk’uko bigaragara mu bushakashatsi bwa BloombergNEF ku biciro.

Gushiraho no gufatanya n'uruzitiro biratandukanye bivanye n'ibikoresho. Isesengura rya Ember ry’amasoko aherutse gukorwa mu Butaliyano, Ubuhindi na Arabiya Saudite ryasanze gushiramwo no gufatanya n’ibindi bikoresho vyongera amadolari 50/kWh ku rugero rwa mwayeni, amafaranga yo gufatanya n’ibindi bikoresho vyonyene akaba ari kuva ku madolari 30/kWh gushika ku madolari 100/kWh bivanye n’isoko. Mu masoko afise ibiciro vyinshi, ingingo ngenderwako zikomeye canke amategeko agenga ibirimwo mu karere, ibiciro vy’ibikoresho nyamukuru bishobora gushika hejuru y’amadolari 100/kWh hejuru y’igipimo c’ishimikiro c’amarushanwa.

Inkurikizi y’ibikorwa: igiciro c’irembo ry’uruganda-riva mu Bushinwa n’igiciro c’i Texas bitandukanye n’ikintu kitagira ico gihuriyeko n’amabateri. Nimba uriko urapima uburyo buva hanze n’ubwo buva mu gihugu, ubuyobozi bwacu kugushaka BESS iva mu Bushinwaikora biciye mu butaka-igiciro n'ubucuruzi bw'ukubahiriza-ibihembo.

Amasaha 2 n'amasaha 4 BESS Igiciro kuri kWh

Igihe gihindura umubare w'i -kWh ata guhindura ubuhinga. Ibikoresho bijanye n’inguvu-- PCS, umuhinduzi, ibikoresho vyo guhindura, uburinzi, n’umugabane munini w’uburebure bw’uguhuza - bigereranywa n’amasaha y’ama megawatt, si amasaha y’ama megawatt{5}}. Yongerako amasaha menshi y'inguvu inyuma y'inguvu imwe kandi ivyo biguzi bihoraho bikwiragizwe ku masaha menshi ya kilowatt-.

Musome izo nkingi zibiri hamwe. Uburyo bw’amasaha ane-buca buzimvye nk’ibice 11% ku kilowatt{3}}isaha, bukaba buzimvye nk’ibice 77% ku kilowatt. Ember yashitse ku ciyumviro kimwe akoresheje amakuru atandukanye, agereranya ko ubuhinga burengeye amasaha ane bugura hafi 10–15% ku kWh kubera iyo mvo nyene.

Rero igiciro c'amasaha abiri-si "agaciro kabi" kuruta igiciro c'amasaha ane-ku giciro kinini $/kWh - bariko barishura ibibazo bitandukanye. Gereranya igihe ku $/kW no ku nyungu canke kuzigama igihe gishobora gufata, ntukigere ukoresha $/kWh gusa. Nimba itandukaniro hagati y’ububasha n’inguvu ry’inguvu rikiri ry’agahomerabunwa ku mugwi wawe, umusiguzi wacu kukW n'kWhni igitabu c’intango c’ingirakamaro imbere y’isubiramwo rya mbere ry’amasoko.

Igiciro co kubika bateri kuri kWh hakurikijwe ugusaba

Ubuhinga-Urugero BESS Igiciro kuri kWh

Utility-scale ni aho ibipimo vyasohowe bikoreshwa cane, kandi aho ubutunzi bw’urugero ari ubw’ukuri: imiterere y’ibikoresho bishobora gusubirwamwo, ibikoresho vya PCS bihuriwe hamwe, ugutanga amasoko menshi n’ubuhinga bushingiye ku rugero. IEA ivuga ko hafi 80% vy’ububiko bw’amabateri 108 GW bwongerewe kw’isi yose mu 2025 bwari ubw’ubuhinga-, kandi ko gukoresha kwakuze 40% umwaka ku wundi - umubare uri inyuma y’ugugabanuka kw’igiciro.

Ku ngengo y’imari y’umwaka w’2026, uburyo bushobora gukorwa ni: ibikoresho biri ku rugero rw’akarere, wongereko amadolari 50/kWh canke arenga yo gushiramwo no gufatanya mu masoko y’amarushanwa, wongereko ivyo inyigisho yawe y’uguhuza ivuga vyose mu vy’ukuri. Iyo manda ya nyuma ni yo imenagura ingengo y’imari. Imigambi ibiri ifise urutonde rw’ibikoresho rusa n’urwo ishobora gutandukanywa n’amadolari 70/kWh ku gukomeza uruja n’uruza gusa.

Iciyumviro ku vyerekeye ubutunzi: bafata ko ibindi vyose bingana. Imigambi minini cane irashobora guca mu nzira mbi iyo ivyura uguhuza kw’amashanyarazi menshi, inzira ndende z’imirongo, ubwubatsi bw’inzira, gukoranya ubutaka mu bice vyinshi canke inshingano z’ibirimwo vyo mu karere. Ubwinshi burafasha mu gutanga amasoko; ntibifasha ubwavyo igiciro c'urubuga. Amahitamwo yo gutunganya kuri uru rugero aravugwa muriutility-urugero rw'ibisubizo vy'ibiterwa.

Igiciro co kubika amabateri y'ubudandaji n'inganda kuri kWh

Nta bushakashatsi busohora urugero rwa C&I rufise uburemere bw'imibare y'urugero rw'ubuhinga-, rero fata umubare uwo ari wo wose hano nk'urutonde rwerekana kuva ku majambo yavuzwe aho gufata umubare w'ubushakashatsi. Mu masoko yo mu Burengero, ubuhinga bwa C&I bushizweho busanzwe butera incuro nyinshi hejuru y’igiharuro c’ubuhinga -igihe buvyemerewe, ibikorwa vy’amashanyarazi, ibikoresho vyo guhindura amashanyarazi n’umugenzuzi w’aho hantu birakwiragizwa mu masaha amajana makeyi y’amakilowati-. Ivyo bihembo bihoraho ntibigabanuka n’ibati.

Ico kigaragaza ko umugambi wa C&I ukora ni gake igiciro ca kWh. Ni igiciro. Imbere yo gusaba igiciro, nkurure nibura amezi cumi n’abiri y’amakuru y’igihe gito n’akarorero k’isonga ry’ivyo usaba, igihe c’isonga, igihe-c’ugukoresha -ugukwiragira, uburenganzira bwo kwohereza hanze, izuba ryo ku kibanza n’iterambere ry’umuzigo ritegekanijwe. Uburyo buzimvye cane iyo nyubakwa idashobora gukoresha neza ni ingingo izimvye kuruta. GwacuUbucuruzi n'inganda ububiko bw'ibisubizourupapuro rugaragaza imiterere isanzwe y'iki gice.

Igiciro ca bateri yo mu nzu ku kWh

Ububiko bwo mu nzu ni isoko ritandukanye rifise imiterere y'igiciro itandukanye, kandi ibipimo vy'urugero rw'ubuhinga-ntivyimurirwako mu buryo ubwo ari bwo bwose. Amakuru y’isoko rya Amerika yatangajwe biciye mu 2026 amatsinda agera ku madolari 1.000/kWh yashizweho, n’ugukwiragira gukomeye hakurikijwe ikimenyetso n’ingene igikorwa co gusubiza inyuma n’amashanyarazi kiriko kirakorwa. Ivyo ubifate nk’ivyo wihweza kw’isoko, ntubifate nk’ikigereranyo c’ubushakashatsi.

Ihinduka rimwe ryo mu 2026 rihambaye kuruta gushinga igiciro ku baguzi bo muri Amerika: Inguzanyo y’inguvu zisukuye zo mu nzu y’Igice ca 25D yarangijwe kubera amafaranga yakoreshejwe inyuma y’igenekerezo rya 31 Kigarama 2025, kandi IRS ifata amafaranga nk’ayakoreshejwe igihe ugushirwaho kwarangiye. Uwufise inzu agura ataco akora mu 2026 akwiye kutagira inguzanyo ya Leta Zunze Ubumwe za Amerika. MuIncamake y'Ishirahamwe ry'Ubushakashatsi ry'Inama Nkuru y'Igihugu c'Ubushakashatsi ku mategeko y'uguhera n'ugushira imbereirashiraho ido n’ido ry’ivyo. Sisitemu z'uwundi muntu - n'ibindi bikoresho vya Leta canke vy'ubuhinga bikurikiza amategeko atandukanye.

Abafise inzu bakwiye kugereranya ubushobozi bukoreshwa, ubushobozi bukomeza n’ubushobozi bwo hejuru, ni ibihe bice bishigikiwe, ukuntu inverter ihuye, amasezerano ya garanti n’amahera yose abandanya y’ubuhinga bwa none - kandi bakwiye kwama babona amajambo avugwa imbere n’inyuma y’inkurikizi.

Kubera iki ubuhinga bubiri buvugwa ku $/kWh imwe butagereranywa

Izina n'ubushobozi bwo gukoreshwa

Ubushobozi bw’izina ni inguvu zigereranywa za bateri. Ubushobozi bukoreshwa ni ivyo sisitemu izotanga mu vy'ukuri mu gihe c'idirisha ry'ugushaja ryemewe-ry-, inyuma y'ugukoresha kw'inyongera n'ugutakaza kw'uguhindura, ku ntumbero y'ingero yemeranijwe.

Abaguzi bashobora gutanga amahera menshi ku bushobozi bw’izina ni abakorana n’ibindi bihiganwa ahanini ku giciro c’umutwe, n’uwutanga amasoko wese garanti yiwe yanditswe ku rugero rw’amapaki aho kwandikwa ku kibanza co gutanga AC. Si ngombwa ngo bihenda - ni umubare uruganda rwabo rupima. Ariko si umubare umuderi wawe w’inyungu ukeneye.

Saba uwutanga amasoko wese kuvuga, mu mbonerahamwe imwe: intango-y'-ubushobozi bw'ubuzima, intango-y'ubushobozi bwo gukoresha ubuzima, ubushobozi bwo gutanga AC ku ntumbero y'ingero, iherezo-y'idirisha n'ubushobozi bw'igarantiya ikoreshwa. Igiciro gishingiye ku bushobozi bw’izina kizosa n’igiciro gito 5–10% kuruta uburyo busa n’ubwo buvugwa ku nguvu zikoreshwa za AC.

Ubwubatsi bwa sisitemu: PCS, EMS n'ugufatanya

Bateri ni umurongo umwe muri sisitemu ikeneye kandi sisitemu yo guhindura amashanyarazi, BMS, EMS, umugenzuzi w’aho hantu, gucunga ubushuhe, gutahura umuriro no kuwuzimya, guhanahana amakuru n’umutekano wo kuri internet, no gupima no gukingira. Aho PCS yicara mu rugero ni kimwe mu bimenyetso bikunze kugaragara vy'amajambo atari-agereranywa; incamake yacu yaivyo uburyo bwo guhindura ubushobozi bukoraasigura ivyo bikwiye gusobanurwa muri RFQ.

Ubwubatsi bwo gufatanya na bwo burahindura urubibi rw’amajambo. DC-coupled system isangira inverter n’izuba riri co-, ihindura igiciro hagati y’ububiko n’ububiko bwa PV kandi igatuma ububiko bwigenga $/kWh bugereranywa ata co bumaze kiretse abatanga amasoko bompi bakoresheje ubuhinga bumwe. Ivyo gucuruza-bishirwa ahabona mu kugereranya kwacu kw'AC-ifatanye na DC-ifatanye n'ububiko bwa bateri.

Uburyo bw'agace n'ubunini bw'ububiko

Ivy’ubuhinga bwa shimi ni vyo vyitabwaho cane, ariko uburyo niho ubu ubu itandukaniro ry’ibiciro rishobora gupimwa rigaragara. Itohoza rya BloombergNEF ryo mu 2025 ryasanze ubuhinga bwo ku ruhande bwa DC-bukoresha utugingo ngengabuzima twa 300Ah canke bunini bwari buzimvye hafi 50% kurusha ubuhinga bubatswe n’utugingo ngengabuzima dutoduto, kandi amabuye ya DC afise utugingo ngengabuzima 4 MWh canke arenga yari azimvye hafi 39% kuruta ubuhinga bwa 2–4 ​​MWh. Iyo amasoko abiri atandukanye cane kugiciro, uburyo bw'agace n'ubunini bw'ibice bisigura cane ikinogo kuruta ikibazo ca LFP-n'ica-NMC.

Ku bijanye n’ubuhinga bwa shimi ubwabwo: LFP ifise hafi 90% vy’ububiko buhagaze bukoreshwa kw’isi yose kuva mu 2025, bupimwa n’ubushobozi bukoreshwa, kuIEA Isuzuma ry'Inguvu kw'Isi Yose 2026. NMC iguma ifise uruhara aho ikirenge canke uburemere ari vyo bifatanya. Igiciro-ibihinduka bifitaniye isano mu guhitamwo ubuhinga bwa shimi ni urugero rw'abaguzi b'ingingo, garanti y'ingendo, igiciro ca C-, idirisha rya SOC rikoreshwa, umugambi wo gukwiragira kw'ubushuhe n'inzira y'icemezo - atari ikimenyetso c'ubuhinga bwa shimi.

Ibikorwa vyo ku rubuga n'uguhuza uruzitiro

Igiciro c’urubuga ntigishobora kugereranywa bivanye n’ubushobozi bwa bateri. Ivu rigoyagoya, inzira ndende z’imirongo, uburyo bwo gushikayo bugoyagoya, ibikoresho vy’umuriro mwinshi-, ibisabwa mu gukingira amazi, inyigisho zo guhuza, gukomeza uruja n’uruza, ugusubira inyuma kw’umuriro, ubushuhe bukaze n’ibisabwa vy’imitingito canke umwuzure buri butaka buri ku ruhande rwa nyen’umurongo. Uguhuza ni co kintu kinini kandi ni co gishasha-shitse muri ivyo: mu migenderanire ya EPC bikunda gusohoka inyuma y’aho inyigisho y’ubuhinga igarukiye, ivyo bikaba akenshi bishika inyuma y’aho amasezerano y’ibikoresho amaze gusinywa.

Garanti, Ugusenyuka n'Ukwongerekana

Uburyo buzimvye kandi bufise garanti igoyagoya ni ingorane y’amahera, si ingorane y’ubuhinga gusa. Gereranya igihe c’igarantiya y’igicuruzwa, igarantiya y’ibikorwa, ubushobozi bw’inguvu zikoreshwa, iherezo ry’ubushobozi bw’igarantiya, ingendo n’ubushuhe iyo garanti igumamwo, ingwati z’ukuboneka, ibihe vy’inyishu, abakozi, gusubirira ibikoresho, n’amafaranga y’ubuhinga canke y’ugukurikirana.

Fata ingingo hakiri kare nimba ukwongerekana kwicara mu giciro c’amahera canke mu giciro c’ubuzima, maze ushireho iryo koraniro mu giciro cose. Uwutanga ibikoresho yiyumvira ko azokwongerwa umwaka-umunani n’uwundi yiyumvira ko azokwongerwa cane ku musi wa mbere azotanga imibare itandukanye cane y’amadolari/kWh ku nguvu zimwe zitangwa mu kiringo kimwe.

Uko woharura igiciro ca BESS ku kWh

Ico kigereranyo ni coroshe. Intonde iri mu vyo winjiza.

Igiciro c'imbere ku kWh ikoreshwa=harimwo igiciro c'umugambi ÷ intango-y'ubushobozi bw'inguvu zikoreshwa mu buzima

Ivyo gusubiza hamwe bikurikira ni .akarorero, si igiciro c’umuguzi kandi si ikigereranyo. Igereranya umugambi w’amasaha ane-w’amashanyarazi 5 MW / 20 MWh mw’isoko rifise amakori y’ibicuruzwa biva hanze n’uguhuza uruja n’uruza rw’amashanyarazi bigoye cane.

Umutwe w'inkuru n'umubare w'ingingo bitandukanye n'incuro 2,07. Nta kintu na kimwe kiri muri iyo meza kidasanzwe, kandi umurongo w’uguhuza ku madolari 30/kWh wicara ku mpera y’agaciro k’amadolari 30–100/kWh Ember yihweje. Nta madolari 110/kWh canke 228/kWh ari makosa. Bisubiza ibibazo bitandukanye, kandi kimwe gusa muri vyo ni co kiri mu biharuro vya IRR.

Igiciro kuri kWh n'igiciro co kubika

Igiciro c’imbere ni igipimo c’umutungo kamere. Igiciro c’ububiko (LCOS) kigabanya igiciro c’ubuzima bwose gigabanutse n’inguvu zigabanutse z’ubuzima bwose, gutera imbere mu giciro co gushaja, ubushobozi bwo gusubira inyuma-, O&M, ugusenyuka, kwongerera, gusubirira n’agaciro k’amasigarira. Isesengura ry’ibiciro ry’umwaka wa 2026 rya BloombergNEF ryashizeho urugero rw’isi yose rw’umugambi wo kubika amasaha ane-ku madolari 78/MWh mu 2025, bikaba vyagabanutse 27% ku mwaka ku mwaka, amasoko atandatu asanzwe ari munsi y’amadolari 100/MWh.

Uburyo bubiri bufise amafaranga asa n’ayo kuri kWh burashobora gutanga LCOS itandukanye mu vy’umubiri biciye mu bushobozi, uburyo bwo gusenyuka canke ukuboneka gusa. Uko ni ko biri ku bijanye no kuyikoresha.

Ikibazo co kutayikoresha cane-: LCOS ifata uburyo bwo gutwara amagare busobanuwe. Aho bidakwiye kuba igipimo ca mbere ni igikorwa cose agaciro kaco katapimwa mu migambi y’inguvu zisohotse - zo gusubiza inyuma no kwihangana, ubushobozi-itunga ry’isoko ryishyurwa kubera ukuboneka, n’uburyo inyungu nyamukuru iva ku gusaba-kwirinda gukoresha inguvu aho gukoresha ingufu. Gukoresha LCOS ku mutungo uzunguruka incuro amajana makeyi mu mwaka bitanga umubare munini uvuga ko ataco umaze. Eka mbere LCOS ntikwiye gutera urujijo n’inyungu: LCOS iri hasi kandi idafise inyungu ihagije iracari umugambi mubi.

Igiciro co kubika amabateri: 2026 gushika 2035

Ivyiyumviro bibiri vyizigirwa vyerekana inzira imwe ariko ntivyemeranya ku bijanye n’ubunini, ni co gituma nyene umubare umwe ari wo buryo butari bwo bwo gutegura.

Ivyo bice bibiri ntibiri mu ntambara - BNEF iriko irategura ibiciro vy’ibikoresho mu gihe imigambi ya NREL yuzuye igiciro cashizweho muri Amerika harimwo abakozi, uruhusha n’amahera y’abategura. Ico kinogo kiri hagati yavyo ni ikigereranyo gibereye c’ikintu cose kitagwa ku rugero rumwe n’urw’ingingo ngenderwako.

Ibintu bimwe bivuye mu gikorwa ca NREL birabereye gutwarwa mu kiganiro co gutegura: ikibazo caco kinini kigaragaza ko ibiciro bizoshika ku rwego rwo hejuru mu 2026 ku bijanye n’ugutanga-uruhererekane rw’ibikoresho n’inguvu z’amakori kandi ntibizosubira ku rugero rwo mu 2024 gushika mu mpera z’imyaka ya 2030. Igiciro c’amapaki kigabanuka si kimwe n’igiciro gishizweho kigabanuka mw’isoko iryo ari ryo ryose, kandi umuntu wese ategura umugambi wo muri Amerika akwiye kuba ashoboye kuvuga ibizoshika ku nyungu ziwe muri iyo nzira.

Ku kibazo c’uko tworindira: kurindira birafise igiciro. Umugambi ukuraho igipimo c’intambamyi zawo uno musi uraheba imyaka myinshi y’amahera yinjira canke ukirinda igiciro c’amashanyarazi mu gihe uburyo buzimvye buriko burategerezwa. Ariko n’ibihushanye n’ivyo ni ukuri aho ikirundo c’amahera yinjira ubu ari gito, ikibanza c’uguhuza kitari gikomeye, canke amasezerano y’amahera atari meza. Ingingo ni iy’ubutunzi bw’uwo mugambi ubu, si iyo umurongo w’igiciro c’amabateri uja.

Amakosa asanzwe igihe ugereranya ibiciro vyo kubika amabateri

1. Kugereranya igipimo c’amapaki n’igiciro c’urufunguzo canke gishizweho.
2. Kugereranya uburyo bw'amasaha abiri-n'uburyo bw'amasaha ane-ku $/kWh.
3. Gucapura n’ubushobozi bwa AC bushobora gukoreshwa.
4. Kugereranya ibiciro mu ma Incoterms atandukanye, uturere canke amatariki y’ibiciro.
5. Gusiga interconnexion hanze y’ikibazo c’ishimikiro kuko inyigisho itaragaruka.
6. Guhitamwo kugiciro imbere y’uko garanti n’ivyiyumviro vy’ukwongerekana bihuzwa.
7. Dufate ko ijana kw'ijana ry'ibiciro vy'ingingo bica muri kimwe-ku-kimwe kugiciro c'umugambi washizweho.

Ibibazo bikunze kwibazwa

Ivyiza vyo gutwara

Umubare uhambaye ni vyose-mu giciro ca nyen'umutungo ugabanywe n'inguvu zikoreshwa zishobora gukoreshwa. Ibindi vyose ni inyungu muri iyo mibare canke ikigereranyo c'ubwenge-kuyisuzuma.

Uronke ibintu bitatu vyiza kandi urujijo rwinshi rw’ibiciro rurazimangana: gushinga urufatiro rw’ubushobozi imbere y’uko amasoko ashika, gushiramwo uguhuza mu rwego rw’ishimikiro aho gushiramwo nk’inyandiko, no gufata uwutanga amasoko wese ku meza imwe yo kugereranya. Ubutandukane busigaye hagati y’abaguzi buzoba rero ubutandukane nyabwo, ari bwo bwoko bwonyene bukwiye kuganirwako.